Just a general COVID19 thread - dont open if you not interrested in RL issues
Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2020 2:57 pm
I hate to be that person, but more ideas and opinions are always good, right?
So
Just a few things I have on my mind currently:
- Economic impact possibly starting another "2008-like" crisis - even if the virus is mostly contained in China
- IMO Unless unexpected things happen (the virus cancels itself basically, same as SARS did) this will spread to most of the countries around the world, because of the exceptional infectivity and up to 20 days asymptomatic period plus huge migration of people around the world
- If the China cant stop it in their country using the hardcore measures (and they can do it because its a very authoritarian regime and the voice of public is worthless) - then the rest of the democratic countries cant stop it as well? Latest numbers suggest that all the measures china implemented reduced the R0 from 2,9 to 2,3 which is not enough to stop the spreading as it needs to get bellow 1
- 15% of infected have respiratory issues which require special medical HW for you to get thru it and that HW is very limited.
- Even if this is not so dangerous, people are already scared, to there will be a panic when the virus hits each country - this panic will result in ppl buying all the food off the shelves, so there will be shortage afterwards for at least few weeks, until it stabilizes?
So my guess is, that basic prepping is in place - just to be on a safer side - even if all what will happen is just a panic. I plan to stock on food, just because I expect the panic as described. I consider this to be a good behavior towards the others who decide to not prepare. Because if the panic starts, it will be one less person making a run for a food.
Rice, beans, salt, sugar, tea... just basics. 1 - 2 months supply. Its really cheap, and not a big amount of food needed.
Im not here to spread fear, just speaking my mind. I never reacted to any virus alerts, but I consider this to be different case possibly. And I really hope Im wrong and I will just make a idiot of myself But... stocking a few bags of rice is always a good idea no matter what.
The situation can change and Im aware of it, in one month, the virus might be over and nothing will happen.
The economic impact is inevitable tho IMO.. as its already in progress. Even if it ends in 1 month, which is best case scenario and wishful thinking. In short - this will rise the prices up and it will lead to increased unemployment IMO. But we got thru this many times, so I dont really mind. I expected this to happen anyway, virus or not...
Opinions and constructive discussion is welcomed
Be well, stay safe
So
Just a few things I have on my mind currently:
- Economic impact possibly starting another "2008-like" crisis - even if the virus is mostly contained in China
- IMO Unless unexpected things happen (the virus cancels itself basically, same as SARS did) this will spread to most of the countries around the world, because of the exceptional infectivity and up to 20 days asymptomatic period plus huge migration of people around the world
- If the China cant stop it in their country using the hardcore measures (and they can do it because its a very authoritarian regime and the voice of public is worthless) - then the rest of the democratic countries cant stop it as well? Latest numbers suggest that all the measures china implemented reduced the R0 from 2,9 to 2,3 which is not enough to stop the spreading as it needs to get bellow 1
- 15% of infected have respiratory issues which require special medical HW for you to get thru it and that HW is very limited.
- Even if this is not so dangerous, people are already scared, to there will be a panic when the virus hits each country - this panic will result in ppl buying all the food off the shelves, so there will be shortage afterwards for at least few weeks, until it stabilizes?
So my guess is, that basic prepping is in place - just to be on a safer side - even if all what will happen is just a panic. I plan to stock on food, just because I expect the panic as described. I consider this to be a good behavior towards the others who decide to not prepare. Because if the panic starts, it will be one less person making a run for a food.
Rice, beans, salt, sugar, tea... just basics. 1 - 2 months supply. Its really cheap, and not a big amount of food needed.
Im not here to spread fear, just speaking my mind. I never reacted to any virus alerts, but I consider this to be different case possibly. And I really hope Im wrong and I will just make a idiot of myself But... stocking a few bags of rice is always a good idea no matter what.
The situation can change and Im aware of it, in one month, the virus might be over and nothing will happen.
The economic impact is inevitable tho IMO.. as its already in progress. Even if it ends in 1 month, which is best case scenario and wishful thinking. In short - this will rise the prices up and it will lead to increased unemployment IMO. But we got thru this many times, so I dont really mind. I expected this to happen anyway, virus or not...
Opinions and constructive discussion is welcomed
Be well, stay safe